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Politics · binary

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Vol total$43K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$14K
Resolves119d

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Prediction

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.0725
Shares (est)68.97
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$63.97
If Yes wins pays$68.97
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Price history+1.75% · 1W
3%5%6%8%9%Aug 29Aug 30Aug 31Sep 2Sep 3Sep 5

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.