Culture · 6 markets

VMA Video of the Year 2026

Vol total$3K

Vol 24h$3K

Liquidity$3K

Resolves9d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

$2K vol

55.5%

chance

Yes 56¢ · No 45¢

🎯

Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)

$585 vol

24.0%

chance

Yes 24¢ · No 76¢

🎯

I Just Might (Bruno Mars)

$79 vol

7.5%

chance

Yes 8¢ · No 93¢

🎯

Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)

$56 vol

7.5%

chance

Yes 8¢ · No 93¢

🎯

Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)

$30 vol

7.5%

chance

Yes 8¢ · No 93¢

🎯

Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)

$4 vol

37.5%

chance

Yes 38¢ · No 63¢

Resolution rules

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.