Culture · 7 markets

VMA Song of the Year 2026

Vol total$768

Vol 24h$508

Liquidity$3K

Resolves8d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Swim (BTS)

$441 vol

61.0%

chance

Yes 61¢ · No 39¢

🎯

Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)

$184 vol

19.0%

chance

Yes 19¢ · No 81¢

🎯

Bring Your Love (Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter)

$138 vol

14.5%

chance

Yes 14¢ · No 86¢

🎯

Golden (Huntrix)

$1 vol

5.0%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🎯

Man I Need (Olivia Dean)

$1 vol

4.0%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎯

Stateside + Zara Larsson (PinkPantheress)

$1 vol

4.0%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎯

Where Is My Husband! (Raye)

$1 vol

4.0%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

Resolution rules

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year. If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.