Culture · 6 markets

VMA Artist of the Year 2026

Vol total$723

Vol 24h$723

Liquidity$1K

Resolves9d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇺🇸

Taylor Swift

$449 vol

54.0%

chance

Yes 54¢ · No 46¢

🇺🇸

Ariana Grande

$158 vol

9.5%

chance

Yes 10¢ · No 91¢

🎯

Madonna

$47 vol

21.0%

chance

Yes 21¢ · No 79¢

🇺🇸

Sabrina Carpenter

$24 vol

1.5%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 99¢

🇵🇭

Bruno Mars

$22 vol

1.6%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

🇺🇸

Morgan Wallen

$22 vol

2.0%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year. If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.