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Politics · binary

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Vol total$180K
Vol 24h$322
Liquidity$20K
Resolves107d

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Prediction

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.0275
Shares (est)181.82
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$176.82
If Yes wins pays$181.82
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Price history-0.20% · 1W
1%2%3%4%5%Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12Sep 14Sep 15Sep 16

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.