Economy · 7 markets

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Vol total$9K

Vol 24h$2K

Liquidity$11K

Resolves85d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

0.0–0.1%

$3K vol

17.5%

chance

Yes 18¢ · No 83¢

🎯

0.2–0.3%

$2K vol

28.5%

chance

Yes 28¢ · No 72¢

🎯

Negative

$2K vol

18.0%

chance

Yes 18¢ · No 82¢

🎯

0.4–0.5%

$705 vol

25.5%

chance

Yes 26¢ · No 75¢

🎯

0.6–0.7%

$203 vol

5.0%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🎯

1.0%+

$200 vol

2.9%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

0.8–0.9%

$190 vol

1.4%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.