Politics · binary

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

The market prices “Yes” at 6% (+2.4 pts in 24h). $121K traded in total, $2K in the last 24 hours. Scheduled to resolve Dec 31, 2026.

Vol total$121K

Vol 24h$2K

Liquidity$34K

Resolves79d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first1 question

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Saudi Arabia formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.