Politics · Ends Jan 1

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

Most likely: December 31, 2026 at 2% (down 1.2 points in 24 hours).

What do you think?

Yes = it happens · No = it doesn't

2%chance of Yes, according to the market▼ 1 today

Your money, explained

Put $10 on Yes at 2% → if it happens you get $540.54 (+$530.54). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Jan 1, 2027, US Eastern time.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Such a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market. If capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

$120K traded since it opened · $928 today