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Politics · 6 markets

Trump approval rating on September 25?

Vol total$421
Vol 24h$421
Liquidity$3K
Resolves5d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first6 questions

Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on September 25, 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 25, 2026.

Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 25, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 25, 2026.

Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 25, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 25, 2026.

Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on September 25, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 25, 2026.

Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 25, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 25, 2026.

Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.5 on September 25, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 25, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.