Politics · 6 markets

Trump approval rating on September 18?

Vol total$2K

Vol 24h$1K

Liquidity$2K

Resolves5d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

38.5–38.9

$594 vol

42.5%

chance

Yes 43¢ · No 57¢

🎯

38.0–38.4

$506 vol

30.0%

chance

Yes 30¢ · No 70¢

🎯

37.5–37.9

$348 vol

9.0%

chance

Yes 9¢ · No 91¢

🎯

39.0+

$249 vol

11.1%

chance

Yes 11¢ · No 89¢

🎯

<37.0

$182 vol

10.0%

chance

Yes 10¢ · No 90¢

🎯

37.0–37.4

$94 vol

5.5%

chance

Yes 6¢ · No 95¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.