Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.0 and 37.4 on October 2, 2026?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 2, 2026.
Politics · 6 markets
Trump approval rating on October 2?
Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$1K
Resolves4d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first6 questions
Will Trump's approval rating be between 36.5 and 36.9 on October 2, 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 2, 2026.
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on October 2, 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 2, 2026.
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 2, 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 2, 2026.
Will Trump's approval rating be between 36.0 and 36.4 on October 2, 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 2, 2026.
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 36.0 on October 2, 2026?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 2, 2026.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on October 2, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.