All predictions

Crypto · Ends Jan 1

How much will crypto hacks cost in total in 2026?

Total crypto hack losses for incidents dated in 2026; each answer is its own question, Yes if the total exceeds that amount.

On Polymarket as “Total crypto hack value in 2026?”

What do you think happens?

Each line is its own yes-or-no question.

Over $4 billion▲ 95 today
Over $3 billion▲ 48 today
Over $3.5 billion▲ 91 today
Over $2.5 billion▲ 2 today

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “Over $4 billion” at >99% → if it happens you get $10.01 (+$0.01). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

DefiLlama's hacks page, summing all "Amount lost" entries for incidents dated in 2026, using the latest revised numbers. Source ↗

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total crypto hack value in 2026 exceeds the amount specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the hacks page available at: https://defillama.com/hacks The total value will be calculated as the sum of all “Amount lost” entries for incidents dated in 2026 If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.

$144K traded since it opened · $49K today

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.