Politics · 9 markets

Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner

Vol total$4K

Vol 24h$366

Liquidity$9K

Resolves22d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi

$2K vol·-8%·7d

13.0%

chance

Yes 13¢ · No 87¢

🎯

Mounu Uaisele

$647 vol·+0%·7d

7.3%

chance

Yes 7¢ · No 93¢

🎯

Alvin Lafu Sika

$242 vol·-13%·7d

12.5%

chance

Yes 13¢ · No 88¢

🎯

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki

$238 vol·-5%·7d

17.3%

chance

Yes 17¢ · No 83¢

🎯

'Olioni Manoa

$232 vol·+5%·7d

26.4%

chance

Yes 26¢ · No 74¢

🎯

Sione Harvard Tupouniua

$205 vol·-8%·7d

18.1%

chance

Yes 18¢ · No 82¢

🎯

Samiuela Vea

$190 vol·-19%·7d

6.5%

chance

Yes 7¢ · No 94¢

🎯

'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila

$179 vol·-12%·7d

8.2%

chance

Yes 8¢ · No 92¢

🎯

Lei Paasi

$166 vol·-24%·7d

5.5%

chance

Yes 6¢ · No 94¢

Resolution rules

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).