Politics · Ends Dec 31

Tim Walz charged by...?

Most likely: Before 2027 at 4% (down 0.6 points in 24 hours).

What do you think?

Yes = it happens · No = it doesn't

4%chance of Yes, according to the market

Your money, explained

Put $10 on Yes at 4% → if it happens you get $273.97 (+$263.97). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Dec 31, 2026, US Eastern time.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Governor Tim Walz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

$533K traded since it opened · $8K today