All events
Tech & AI · 20 markets

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Vol total$19K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$12K
Resolves74d

Outcomes · most likely first

🛍️
Alibaba
$6K vol
37.5%
chance
Yes 38¢ · No 63¢
🔍
Google
$6K vol
24.5%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 76¢
🍜
Meituan
$702 vol
4.1%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🧠
OpenAI
$566 vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🤖
Z.ai
$481 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🌙
Moonshot
$452 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🌪️
Mistral
$396 vol
4.8%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$383 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🟢
Nvidia
$375 vol
4.3%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🔎
Baidu
$336 vol
3.4%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🤖
Anthropic
$321 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🇨🇳
Bytedance
$385 vol
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇨🇳
Tencent
$332 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
👥
Meta
$311 vol
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
📦
Amazon
$307 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$307 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$301 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🔷
DeepSeek
$300 vol
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇨🇳
StepFun
$255 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🪟
Microsoft
$254 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".