All events
Tech & AI · 18 markets

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$110
Liquidity$4K
Resolves74d

Outcomes · most likely first

🤖
Anthropic
$364 vol
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🛍️
Alibaba
$165 vol
39.5%
chance
Yes 40¢ · No 61¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$79 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🔍
Google
$67 vol
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
🪟
Microsoft
$66 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🌙
Moonshot
$46 vol
37.5%
chance
Yes 38¢ · No 63¢
🧠
OpenAI
$36 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🤖
Z.ai
$36 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$36 vol
38.5%
chance
Yes 39¢ · No 62¢
🔷
DeepSeek
$36 vol
30.5%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 70¢
👥
Meta
$32 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🌪️
Mistral
$32 vol
17.5%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 83¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$27 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🟢
Nvidia
$27 vol
21.0%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 79¢
📱
ByteDance
$27 vol
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🔎
Baidu
$27 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
📦
Amazon
$27 vol
22.0%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 78¢
🍜
Meituan
$27 vol
17.5%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 83¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".