Outcomes · most likely first 11 questions
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $790 on September 30?most traded YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES7.2% chance $10 → $137.93+$127.93 profit if rightNO92.8% chance $10 → $10.78+$0.78 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on September 30?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES95.7% chance $10 → $10.45+$0.45 profit if rightNO4.3% chance $10 → $232.56+$222.56 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 30?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES67.5% chance $10 → $14.81+$4.81 profit if rightNO32.5% chance $10 → $30.77+$20.77 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on September 30?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES3% chance $10 → $333.33+$323.33 profit if rightNO97% chance $10 → $10.31+$0.31 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on September 30?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES97.7% chance $10 → $10.24+$0.24 profit if rightNO2.4% chance $10 → $425.53+$415.53 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on September 30?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES93.5% chance $10 → $10.69+$0.69 profit if rightNO6.5% chance $10 → $155.04+$145.04 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 30?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES91.5% chance $10 → $10.93+$0.93 profit if rightNO8.5% chance $10 → $117.65+$107.65 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on September 30?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES7.8% chance $10 → $127.39+$117.39 profit if rightNO92.2% chance $10 → $10.85+$0.85 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 30?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES37.5% chance $10 → $26.67+$16.67 profit if rightNO62.5% chance $10 → $16.00+$6.00 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 30?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES16.5% chance $10 → $60.61+$50.61 profit if rightNO83.5% chance $10 → $11.98+$1.98 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 30?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES10.5% chance $10 → $95.24+$85.24 profit if rightNO89.5% chance $10 → $11.17+$1.17 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 30, 2026.