Outcomes · most likely first 11 questions
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on September 29?most traded YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES94.5% chance $10 → $10.58+$0.58 profit if rightNO5.5% chance $10 → $181.82+$171.82 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 29, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $790 on September 29?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES4.1% chance $10 → $243.90+$233.90 profit if rightNO95.9% chance $10 → $10.43+$0.43 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 29, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 29?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES92% chance $10 → $10.87+$0.87 profit if rightNO8% chance $10 → $125.00+$115.00 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 29, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $795 on September 29?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES4.2% chance $10 → $240.96+$230.96 profit if rightNO95.9% chance $10 → $10.43+$0.43 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 29, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 29?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES89% chance $10 → $11.24+$1.24 profit if rightNO11% chance $10 → $90.91+$80.91 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 29, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on September 29?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES4.4% chance $10 → $227.27+$217.27 profit if rightNO95.6% chance $10 → $10.46+$0.46 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 29, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on September 29?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES8% chance $10 → $125.00+$115.00 profit if rightNO92% chance $10 → $10.87+$0.87 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 29, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on September 29?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES94.5% chance $10 → $10.58+$0.58 profit if rightNO5.5% chance $10 → $181.82+$171.82 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 29, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 29?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES53.5% chance $10 → $18.69+$8.69 profit if rightNO46.5% chance $10 → $21.51+$11.51 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 29, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 29?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES16% chance $10 → $62.50+$52.50 profit if rightNO84% chance $10 → $11.90+$1.90 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 29, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 29?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES11% chance $10 → $90.91+$80.91 profit if rightNO89% chance $10 → $11.24+$1.24 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 29, 2026.