Outcomes · most likely first 11 questions
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $795 on September 28?most traded YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES4.2% chance $10 → $240.96+$230.96 profit if rightNO95.9% chance $10 → $10.43+$0.43 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 28?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES97.5% chance $10 → $10.25+$0.25 profit if rightNO2.5% chance $10 → $408.16+$398.16 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 28?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES87.5% chance $10 → $11.43+$1.43 profit if rightNO12.5% chance $10 → $80.00+$70.00 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 28?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES59% chance $10 → $16.95+$6.95 profit if rightNO41% chance $10 → $24.39+$14.39 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on September 28?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES97.8% chance $10 → $10.23+$0.23 profit if rightNO2.3% chance $10 → $444.44+$434.44 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 28?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES93.5% chance $10 → $10.70+$0.70 profit if rightNO6.5% chance $10 → $153.85+$143.85 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on September 28?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES97.8% chance $10 → $10.22+$0.22 profit if rightNO2.2% chance $10 → $454.55+$444.55 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on September 28?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES22% chance $10 → $45.45+$35.45 profit if rightNO78% chance $10 → $12.82+$2.82 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on September 28?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES7.5% chance $10 → $132.45+$122.45 profit if rightNO92.5% chance $10 → $10.82+$0.82 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on September 28?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES5% chance $10 → $200.00+$190.00 profit if rightNO95% chance $10 → $10.53+$0.53 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $790 on September 28?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES4.5% chance $10 → $219.78+$209.78 profit if rightNO95.5% chance $10 → $10.48+$0.48 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.