Outcomes · most likely first 11 questions
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on October 9?most traded YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES90% chance $10 → $11.10+$1.10 profit if rightNO10% chance $10 → $100.50+$90.50 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 9, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 9?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES94% chance $10 → $10.64+$0.64 profit if rightNO6% chance $10 → $166.67+$156.67 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 9, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 9?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES69% chance $10 → $14.49+$4.49 profit if rightNO31% chance $10 → $32.26+$22.26 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 9, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $795 on October 9?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES5.8% chance $10 → $172.41+$162.41 profit if rightNO94.2% chance $10 → $10.62+$0.62 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 9, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 9?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES4% chance $10 → $253.16+$243.16 profit if rightNO96% chance $10 → $10.41+$0.41 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 9, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $800 on October 9?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES5.7% chance $10 → $175.44+$165.44 profit if rightNO94.3% chance $10 → $10.60+$0.60 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 9, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 9?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES92% chance $10 → $10.87+$0.87 profit if rightNO8% chance $10 → $125.00+$115.00 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 9, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 9?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES95% chance $10 → $10.53+$0.53 profit if rightNO5.1% chance $10 → $198.02+$188.02 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 9, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $790 on October 9?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES7.9% chance $10 → $126.58+$116.58 profit if rightNO92.1% chance $10 → $10.86+$0.86 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 9, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES60% chance $10 → $16.67+$6.67 profit if rightNO40% chance $10 → $25.00+$15.00 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 9, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 9?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES9.5% chance $10 → $105.26+$95.26 profit if rightNO90.5% chance $10 → $11.05+$1.05 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 9, 2026.