Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first11 questions
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 1?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 1, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on October 1?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 1, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on October 1?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 1, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $790 on October 1?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 1, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 1?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 1, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 1?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 1, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on October 1?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 1, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 1?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 1, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on October 1?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 1, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 1?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 1, 2026.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 1?decided · No