All events
Politics · 20 markets

South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

Vol total$7K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$103K
Resolves521d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇺🇸
Gavin Newsom
$3K vol·+1%·7d
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🇺🇸
Kamala Harris
$1K vol·+6%·7d
20.0%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 80¢
🇺🇸
Raphael Warnock
$308 vol·+2%·7d
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🇺🇸
Mark Kelly
$240 vol·-4%·7d
4.4%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Jon Stewart
$212 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$210 vol·-2%·7d
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🇺🇸
J.B. Pritzker
$210 vol·-1%·7d
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇺🇸
James Talarico
$160 vol·-1%·7d
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Rahm Emanuel
$155 vol·+0%·7d
5.6%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇺🇸
Wes Moore
$150 vol·+0%·7d
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Andy Beshear
$131 vol·+5%·7d
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🇺🇸
Ro Khanna
$131 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Roy Cooper
$131 vol·+2%·7d
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇸
Jon Ossoff
$127 vol·+1%·7d
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🇺🇸
Cory Booker
$125 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Josh Shapiro
$121 vol·-1%·7d
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇺🇸
Stephen A. Smith
$121 vol·-3%·7d
3.8%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Bernie Sanders
$111 vol·-1%·7d
4.7%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇺🇸
Michelle Obama
$30 vol·-2%·7d
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🇺🇸
Pete Buttigieg
$153 vol·-12%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.