Politics · 10 markets
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee
Vol total$24K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$39K
Resolves74d
Outcomes · most likely first
🎯
Raphael Glucksmann
$11K vol·+12%·7d
48.5%
chance
Yes 49¢ · No 52¢
🎯
Boris Vallaud
$4K vol·-15%·7d
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🎯
Francois Hollande
$4K vol·+2%·7d
3.9%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇫🇷
Olivier Faure
$990 vol·-4%·7d
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
🎯
Segolene Royal
$721 vol·+1%·7d
2.8%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Philippe Brun
$935 vol·-1%·7d
1.2%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇫🇷
Karim Bouamrane
$810 vol·-0%·7d
1.4%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇫🇷
Bernard Cazeneuve
$596 vol·-0%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🇫🇷
Carole Delga
$562 vol·-4%·7d
1.7%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇫🇷
Jérôme Guedj
$516 vol·-4%·7d
1.3%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
Resolution rules
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections. If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/. Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.