🎯Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2027?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2029.
Other · 2 markets
Social Security Insolvent by...?
Vol total$836
Vol 24h$442
Liquidity$3K
Resolves834d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first2 questions
🎯Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2028?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2029.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify. A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur. The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.