All events
Politics · 5 markets

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Vol total$287K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$341K
Resolves46d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Tarcísio de Freitas
$130K vol·+3%·7d
96.7%
chance
Yes 97¢ · No 3¢
🇧🇷
Fernando Haddad
$48K vol·-1%·7d
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Kim Kataguiri
$76K vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Erika Hilton
$23K vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Márcio França
$11K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).