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Politics · 31 markets

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

Vol total$558
Vol 24h$394
Liquidity$2K
Resolves30d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first31 questions

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 3, 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 4, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 2, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 3, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 4, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 1, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 2, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 16, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 17, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 30, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 31, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 5, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 6, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 7, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 8, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 8, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 9, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 11, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 12, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 12, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 13, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 14, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 14, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 15, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 15, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 16, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 17, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 18, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 21, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 22, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 23, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 24, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 27, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 28, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 6, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 7, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 9, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 10, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 10, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 11, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 18, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 19, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 19, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 20, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 22, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 23, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 25, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 26, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 30, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 31, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 20, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 21, 2026.

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 28, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 29, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a kinetic strike is conducted on, or forceful seizure of control is taken of, a commercial ship within the defined area on the specified date, between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The defined area consists of the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Gulf of Oman. An incident occurring outside these three bodies of water will not qualify, including in the Arabian Sea, the Gulf of Aden, or the Red Sea. No attribution is required. A qualifying incident will count regardless of the identity of the party responsible, regardless of whether any state or group claims responsibility, and regardless of whether responsibility is denied, disputed, or never established. Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by operatives in person. Damaged caused by mines will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The occurrence, location, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, location, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, location, and timing of the incident based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (UTC) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the incident. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, location, or timing of the incident, the incident will be judged on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.