All events
Economy · 9 markets

September Unemployment Rate

Vol total$6K
Vol 24h$434
Liquidity$15K
Resolves18d

Outcomes · most likely first

📊
4.1%
$2K vol·-2%·7d
33.0%
chance
Yes 33¢ · No 67¢
🎯
≤3.8%
$1K vol·+1%·7d
5.3%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
📊
4.2%
$1K vol·+2%·7d
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🎯
4.5%
$537 vol·-0%·7d
2.8%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
≥4.6%
$536 vol·-0%·7d
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
📊
4.4%
$199 vol·-1%·7d
4.3%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
📊
4.3%
$187 vol·-1%·7d
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢
🎯
3.9%
$141 vol·+2%·7d
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
📊
4.0%
$86 vol·-2%·7d
17.0%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 83¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.