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Tech & AI · 11 markets

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Vol total$882
Vol 24h$882
Liquidity$879
Resolves92d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first11 questions

Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.