All events
Tech & AI · 21 markets

Second-best AI Lab end of September?

Vol total$24K
Vol 24h$4K
Liquidity$23K
Resolves42d

Outcomes · most likely first

🛍️
Alibaba
$10K vol·-36%·7d
15.0%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🔍
Google
$3K vol·+39%·7d
63.0%
chance
Yes 63¢ · No 37¢
🤖
Anthropic
$1K vol·-3%·7d
4.3%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
👥
Meta
$1K vol·+3%·7d
14.9%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🧠
OpenAI
$686 vol·-3%·7d
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🔷
DeepSeek
$629 vol·-1%·7d
2.6%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🪟
Microsoft
$661 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$661 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🍜
Meituan
$660 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🌪️
Mistral
$651 vol·-4%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🟢
Nvidia
$640 vol·-1%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔎
Baidu
$624 vol·+1%·7d
1.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$619 vol·+1%·7d
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🤖
Z.ai
$597 vol·+2%·7d
1.8%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🌙
Moonshot
$591 vol·-3%·7d
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$582 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
Tencent
$556 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
📦
Amazon
$534 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
📱
ByteDance
$497 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
StepFun
$450 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Thinky
$379 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".