All events
Tech & AI · 18 markets

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Vol total$3K
Vol 24h$438
Liquidity$12K
Resolves73d

Outcomes · most likely first

🧠
OpenAI
$501 vol
31.5%
chance
Yes 32¢ · No 69¢
🤖
Anthropic
$276 vol
21.5%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 79¢
🔷
DeepSeek
$218 vol
5.8%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$213 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$211 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
📦
Amazon
$209 vol
4.2%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🔍
Google
$183 vol
13.0%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 87¢
📱
ByteDance
$183 vol
5.9%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🌪️
Mistral
$161 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🟢
Nvidia
$156 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🍜
Meituan
$150 vol
3.9%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🌙
Moonshot
$138 vol
11.0%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
🔎
Baidu
$136 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$123 vol
2.7%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🛍️
Alibaba
$121 vol
10.2%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢
🤖
Z.ai
$159 vol
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
👥
Meta
$123 vol
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🪟
Microsoft
$123 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".