All events
Tech & AI · 19 markets

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Vol total$700
Vol 24h$700
Liquidity$2K
Resolves74d

Outcomes · most likely first

🧠
OpenAI
$89 vol
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🤖
Anthropic
$53 vol
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
🤖
Z.ai
$33 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$33 vol
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
👁️
Meta
$33 vol
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🇨🇳
Alibaba
$33 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🔵
Google
$33 vol
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🌙
Moonshot
$33 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🇨🇳
DeepSeek
$33 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$33 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$33 vol
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
💚
Nvidia
$33 vol
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
📱
ByteDance
$33 vol
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🇨🇳
Baidu
$33 vol
26.8%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 73¢
🛒
Amazon
$33 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇫🇷
Mistral
$33 vol
15.0%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🇨🇳
Meituan
$33 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🪟
Microsoft
$33 vol
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🇨🇳
Tencent
$33 vol
24.5%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 76¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.