All events
Climate · 2 markets

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$269
Liquidity$248
Resolves120d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎃
October 31
$0 vol·-2%·7d
45.5%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 55¢
🎆
December 31
$0 vol·+3%·7d
48.5%
chance
Yes 49¢ · No 52¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify. Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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