Politics · Ends Dec 31

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

The market gives “Yes” a 4% chance.

What do you think?

Yes = it happens · No = it doesn't

4%chance of Yes, according to the market

Your money, explained

Put $10 on Yes at 4% → if it happens you get $263.16 (+$253.16). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result (congress.gov) when the question closes on Dec 31, 2026, US Eastern time. Source ↗

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$197K traded since it opened · $3K today