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Politics · 7 markets

São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner

Vol total$25K
Vol 24h$739
Liquidity$83K
Resolves0d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first7 questions

Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?decided · Yes

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Will ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Will Basta win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Will MDFM win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Will PCD win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Will MCI-PS/PUN win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Will Nossa Terra win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 28, 2026.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.

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