All events
Politics · 14 markets

São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place

Vol total$6K
Vol 24h$4K
Liquidity$9K
Resolves46d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Marina Silva
$1K vol
37.5%
chance
Yes 38¢ · No 63¢
🎯
Simone Tebet
$727 vol
32.5%
chance
Yes 33¢ · No 68¢
🎯
Guilherme Derrite
$546 vol
19.5%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 81¢
🎯
Salles
$359 vol
5.8%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
William Teixeira
$294 vol
4.9%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Soninha Francine
$284 vol
4.3%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Petter Maahs
$254 vol
4.3%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Weller Gonçalves
$252 vol
2.8%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$292 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Marcio Alves
$292 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Ednelson Cesaretti
$290 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
André do Prado
$286 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Geraldo Rufino
$270 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Maíra de Souza
$263 vol
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).