All events
Politics · 14 markets

São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$10K
Resolves46d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Guilherme Derrite
$416 vol
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
🎯
Marina Silva
$372 vol
41.5%
chance
Yes 42¢ · No 59¢
🎯
William Teixeira
$189 vol
2.4%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Simone Tebet
$165 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🎯
André do Prado
$163 vol
12.5%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 88¢
🎯
Salles
$128 vol
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
Marcio Alves
$123 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Ednelson Cesaretti
$111 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$106 vol
2.4%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Weller Gonçalves
$104 vol
2.3%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Geraldo Rufino
$99 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Soninha Francine
$88 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
Maíra de Souza
$67 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🎯
Petter Maahs
$104 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).