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Politics · 4 markets

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Vol total$1.1M
Vol 24h$28K
Liquidity$159K
Resolves89d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first4 questions

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 31, 2026.

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 15, 2026.

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 30, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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