All events
Politics · 10 markets

Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

Vol total$905
Vol 24h$905
Liquidity$37K
Resolves4d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇷🇺
United Russia (ER)
$206 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇷🇺
Yabloko
$134 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇷🇺
Civic Platform (GP)
$106 vol
2.1%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇷🇺
New People (NL)
$94 vol
15.5%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 85¢
🇷🇺
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$86 vol
58.0%
chance
Yes 58¢ · No 42¢
🇷🇺
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$80 vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🎯
Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”
$60 vol
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🎯
A Just Russia (SR)
$34 vol
3.3%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice
$134 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇷🇺
Rodina
$86 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election. The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

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