All events
Politics · 13 markets

Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place

Vol total$3K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$10K
Resolves46d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Marcel Van Hattem
$514 vol
28.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🎯
Luciano do MLB
$506 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Manuela D'Ávila
$424 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🎯
Tania Peres
$365 vol
3.3%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Pimenta
$279 vol
17.0%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 83¢
🎯
Rigotto
$196 vol
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
Sanderson
$177 vol
6.3%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Frederico Antunes
$105 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Renato Jaguarão
$105 vol
3.3%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Regis Ethur
$226 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
$156 vol
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Ric Jones
$144 vol
1.9%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Milton Cardoso
$105 vol
1.7%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).