All events
Politics · 16 markets

Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$315
Liquidity$3K
Resolves46d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Pedro Paulo
$133 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🎯
Luiz Eugenio
$112 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Benedita da Silva
$94 vol
17.5%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 83¢
🎯
Michelly Xavier
$90 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Helio Secco
$74 vol
35.0%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 65¢
🎯
Monica Benicio
$73 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🎯
André Monteiro
$53 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Carlos Jordy
$53 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Carlos Portinho
$53 vol
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🎯
Luciano Mattos
$53 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
Marcelo Crivella
$53 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Marcos Dias
$53 vol
19.0%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 81¢
🎯
Ó Clemente
$53 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Paula Falcão
$53 vol
21.5%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 79¢
🎯
Vinicius Benevides
$53 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Waguinho
$53 vol
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢

Resolution rules

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).