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Tech & AI · 3 markets

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$19K
Resolves106d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎃
October 31
$666 vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🎆
December 31
$315 vol
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🍂
September 30
$164 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ren Zhengfei was outside China at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both the presence outside China and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside China occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed. Ren Zhengfei need not depart China during the market window, nor remain outside China at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside China at market creation, his confirmed presence outside China during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to China. China is defined as territory administered by the People's Republic of China, including Hong Kong and Macau and excluding Taiwan. In cases where Ren Zhengfei may have exited Chinese airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than China for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Ren Zhengfei exits Chinese maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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