Climate · 7 markets

Precipitation in Seattle in October?

Vol total$992

Vol 24h$732

Liquidity$1K

Resolves98d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first7 questions

🎯Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 8, 2027.

🎯Will Seattle have between 4.75 and 6 inches of precipitation in October?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 8, 2027.

🎯Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 8, 2027.

🌊Will Seattle have more than 6 inches of precipitation in October?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 8, 2027.

🎯Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in October?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 8, 2027.

🎯Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.75 inches of precipitation in October?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 8, 2027.

🎯Will Seattle have between 3.75 and 4.75 inches of precipitation in October?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 8, 2027.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between October 1 and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for October 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.