Climate · 7 markets

Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?

Vol total$427

Vol 24h$427

Liquidity$2K

Resolves100d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first7 questions

🎯Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 8, 2027.

🌧️Will Hong Kong have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 8, 2027.

🎯Will Hong Kong have between 20-40mm of precipitation in October?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 8, 2027.

🎯Will Hong Kong have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 8, 2027.

🎯Will Hong Kong have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 8, 2027.

🎯Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 8, 2027.

🎯Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 8, 2027.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in October 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.