All predictions
Politics · Ends Dec 31
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?
Most likely: June 30, 2027 at 66%, then March 31, 2027 at 62% and December 31, 2026 at 14%.
What do you think happens?
Each line is its own yes-or-no question.
June 30, 2027
March 31, 2027▲ 17 today
December 31, 2026▼ 2 today
Your money, explained
Put $10 on “June 30, 2027” at 66% → if it happens you get $15.15 (+$5.15). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.
How it's decided
It's settled by the official result. Each answer closes on its own date, shown when you pick it.
Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
$181K traded since it opened · $868 today