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Politics · 3 markets

People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?

Vol total$3K
Vol 24h$172
Liquidity$6K
Resolves88d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first3 questions

Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.

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