All events
Politics · 6 markets

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Vol total$188K
Vol 24h$52
Liquidity$34K
Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Independent/Technocrat
$58K vol·-5%·7d
48.5%
chance
Yes 49¢ · No 52¢
🇧🇷
PSD
$52K vol·+7%·7d
31.1%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🇷🇴
PNL
$38K vol·-8%·7d
13.9%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🇷🇴
AUR
$14K vol·+0%·7d
2.2%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇭🇺
UDMR
$14K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇷🇴
USR
$11K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the political party of the next officially appointed and confirmed Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the Prime Minister must be both formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the prime minister comes from inside parliament, the party of the Prime Minister will be determined based on their formal party affiliation at the time they become Prime Minister. If the Prime Minister comes from outside parliament, their party will be determined by a consensus of credible reporting on which party they represent, hold membership in, or are formally affiliated with. If no clear affiliation exists, this market will resolve to “Independent/Technocrat”. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.