Culture · Ends Mar 14

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations

Most likely: NAZA at 96% (up 0.5 points in 24 hours), then Once Upon a Time in Harlem at 85% and You Can See Everything at 71%.

What do you think happens?

Each line is its own yes-or-no question.

NAZA

Once Upon a Time in Harlem▲ 4 today

You Can See Everything▼ 6 today

American Doctor▼ 2 today

Musk▲ 18 today

Nuisance Bear▲ 10 today

14th▼ 3 today

One in a Million▲ 6 today

Tutu▲ 5 today

Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party▼ 1 today

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “NAZA” at 96% → if it happens you get $10.47 (+$0.47). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Mar 14, 2027, US Eastern time.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$101K traded since it opened · $4K today