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Culture · 15 markets

Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

Vol total$12K
Vol 24h$275
Liquidity$27K
Resolves208d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
The Black Ball
$9K vol·+3%·7d
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🎬
The Odyssey
$1K vol·-3%·7d
27.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 73¢
🎯
All of a Sudden
$389 vol·+3%·7d
14.1%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
Ink
$334 vol·+15%·7d
14.9%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🚀
Project Hail Mary
$330 vol·+3%·7d
7.8%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🎯
The Invite
$219 vol·+2%·7d
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🎯
Cry to Heaven
$160 vol·-6%·7d
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Wildwood
$154 vol·-1%·7d
2.4%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
The Social Reckoning
$151 vol·-0%·7d
5.4%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$145 vol·+1%·7d
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
Saturn Return
$116 vol·+0%·7d
2.1%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Dune: Part Three
$103 vol·-2%·7d
5.3%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🤠
Toy Story 5
$186 vol·-2%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
The Whisper Man
$121 vol·-11%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Clarissa
$88 vol·-1%·7d
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.