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Economy · 9 markets

October Unemployment Rate

Vol total$960
Vol 24h$960
Liquidity$10K
Resolves35d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first9 questions

Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 6, 2026.

Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 6, 2026.

Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 6, 2026.

Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 6, 2026.

Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 3.9%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 6, 2026.

Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 6, 2026.

Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 6, 2026.

Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.8%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 6, 2026.

Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 6, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for October 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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