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Politics · 7 markets

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

Vol total$23K
Vol 24h$378
Liquidity$42K
Resolves35d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first7 questions

Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2026.

Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2026.

Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2026.

Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2026.

Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2026.

Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2026.

Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 8, 2026.

Resolution rules

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

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