Politics · 7 markets

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

Vol total$17K

Vol 24h$642

Liquidity$47K

Resolves80d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

40-44

$6K vol·-4%·7d

32.5%

chance

Yes 33¢ · No 68¢

🎯

30-34

$5K vol·+12%·7d

36.5%

chance

Yes 37¢ · No 64¢

🎯

35-39

$3K vol·-3%·7d

31.5%

chance

Yes 32¢ · No 69¢

🎯

50+

$485 vol·+1%·7d

3.1%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

<25

$1K vol·-3%·7d

0.4%

chance

Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

🎯

25-29

$625 vol

1.9%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

🎯

45-49

$515 vol·-0%·7d

0.4%

chance

Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).